UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Main card (2:00 PM ET) · Bantamweight · 5 rounds
Free, no-login matchup breakdown for Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Numbers come from Sherdog and UFC.com; nothing is filled in by guesswork.
| Petr Yan | Merab Dvalishvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 20-5-0 | 21-5-0 |
| Age | 33.7 | 35.8 |
| Reach (in) | 67.0 | 68.0 |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Style (stat-derived) | Striker | Grappler |
| Layoff (days) | 322 | 322 |
| UFC record | 12-4 | 14-3 |
| Last 5 | WWWWL | LWWWW |
| Sig. strikes landed /min | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Sig. strike defense % | 60.0 | 54.0 |
| Takedowns /15 min | 1.7 | 6.0 |
| Takedown defense % | 86.0 | 76.0 |
| Sub attempts /15 min | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Wins by | 7 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 12 decision | 3 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 16 decision |
| Losses by | 0 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 4 decision | 0 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 4 decision |
Overall the matchup leans toward a decision (stat-based read, not a prediction).
Kalshi's moneyline has Petr Yan 58¢, Merab Dvalishvili 43¢. That makes Petr Yan the favorite. The "fight goes the distance" market trades around 69–72¢, roughly a 70% market chance it reaches the judges.
Members get the pick, stake per leg, profit per leg, confidence rating and the factor notes for every fight on the card.
See CageCalls ($1.99 / 30 days)Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili is on the main card of UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. That segment starts at 2:00 PM ET.
Petr Yan (20-5-0) has 7 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 12 decision wins. Merab Dvalishvili (21-5-0) has 3 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 16 decision wins (Sherdog).
Kalshi's moneyline has Petr Yan 58¢, Merab Dvalishvili 43¢. That makes Petr Yan the favorite. The "fight goes the distance" market trades around 69–72¢, roughly a 70% market chance it reaches the judges. Prices move; check Kalshi before acting.
On the stats, this matchup leans toward a decision. Petr Yan has won 60% of their wins on the cards and Merab Dvalishvili 76%. It is scheduled for 5 rounds.
Our pick, stake sizing, per-leg profit and confidence for every fight are in the member app ($1.99 per 30 days). This page shows the free matchup analysis only.
Information only, not betting advice. Bets and positions can lose. 21+ only. Need help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. CageCalls is not affiliated with the UFC or Kalshi. Stats: Sherdog, UFC.com, UFCStats, Wikipedia. Prices: Kalshi public market data, checked 2026-10-22.