UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Early prelims (10:00 AM ET) · Lightweight · 3 rounds
Free, no-login matchup breakdown for Kody Steele vs. Noah Gugnon at UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Numbers come from Sherdog and UFC.com; nothing is filled in by guesswork.
| Kody Steele | Noah Gugnon | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-1-0 | 10-2-0 |
| Age | 31.5 | 26.0 |
| Reach (in) | 71.0 | n/a |
| Stance | Orthodox | n/a |
| Style (stat-derived) | Striker | Grappler |
| Layoff (days) | 175 | 84 |
| UFC record | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | WLWWW | WWWWW |
| Sig. strikes landed /min | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Sig. strike defense % | 52.0 | 68.0 |
| Takedowns /15 min | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| Takedown defense % | 100.0 | n/a |
| Sub attempts /15 min | 0.5 | 11.1 |
| Wins by | 4 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 2 decision | 6 KO/TKO, 4 submission, 0 decision |
| Losses by | 0 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 1 decision | 1 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 1 decision |
Overall the matchup leans toward a finish (stat-based read, not a prediction).
Kalshi's moneyline has Kody Steele 59¢, Noah Gugnon 42¢. That makes Kody Steele the favorite. The "fight goes the distance" market trades around 31–46¢, roughly a 38% market chance it reaches the judges.
Members get the pick, stake per leg, profit per leg, confidence rating and the factor notes for every fight on the card.
See CageCalls ($1.99 / 30 days)Kody Steele vs. Noah Gugnon is on the early prelims of UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. That segment starts at 10:00 AM ET.
Kody Steele (8-1-0) has 4 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 2 decision wins. Noah Gugnon (10-2-0) has 6 KO/TKO, 4 submission, 0 decision wins (Sherdog).
Kalshi's moneyline has Kody Steele 59¢, Noah Gugnon 42¢. That makes Kody Steele the favorite. The "fight goes the distance" market trades around 31–46¢, roughly a 38% market chance it reaches the judges. Prices move; check Kalshi before acting.
On the stats, this matchup leans toward a finish. Kody Steele has won 25% of their wins on the cards and Noah Gugnon 0%. It is scheduled for 3 rounds.
Our pick, stake sizing, per-leg profit and confidence for every fight are in the member app ($1.99 per 30 days). This page shows the free matchup analysis only.
Information only, not betting advice. Bets and positions can lose. 21+ only. Need help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. CageCalls is not affiliated with the UFC or Kalshi. Stats: Sherdog, UFC.com, UFCStats, Wikipedia. Prices: Kalshi public market data, checked 2026-10-22.