UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Early prelims (10:00 AM ET) · Middleweight · 3 rounds
Free, no-login matchup breakdown for Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Numbers come from Sherdog and UFC.com; nothing is filled in by guesswork.
| Abubakar Vagaev | Jacob Malkoun | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 25-4-0 | 10-3-0 |
| Age | 33.5 | 31.2 |
| Reach (in) | n/a | 73.0 |
| Stance | n/a | Orthodox |
| Style (stat-derived) | Grappler | Striker |
| Layoff (days) | 91 | 175 |
| UFC record | 1-0 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | WWWWL | WWWLW |
| Sig. strikes landed /min | 1.8 | 4.2 |
| Sig. strike defense % | 60.0 | 55.0 |
| Takedowns /15 min | 4.0 | 5.4 |
| Takedown defense % | 71.0 | 56.0 |
| Sub attempts /15 min | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Wins by | 4 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 20 decision | 3 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 7 decision |
| Losses by | 3 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 1 decision | 1 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 1 decision |
Overall the matchup leans toward a decision (stat-based read, not a prediction).
Kalshi's moneyline has Abubakar Vagaev 60¢, Jacob Malkoun 41¢. That makes Abubakar Vagaev the favorite. The "fight goes the distance" market trades around 58–72¢, roughly a 65% market chance it reaches the judges.
Members get the pick, stake per leg, profit per leg, confidence rating and the factor notes for every fight on the card.
See CageCalls ($1.99 / 30 days)Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun is on the early prelims of UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. That segment starts at 10:00 AM ET.
Abubakar Vagaev (25-4-0) has 4 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 20 decision wins. Jacob Malkoun (10-3-0) has 3 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 7 decision wins (Sherdog).
Kalshi's moneyline has Abubakar Vagaev 60¢, Jacob Malkoun 41¢. That makes Abubakar Vagaev the favorite. The "fight goes the distance" market trades around 58–72¢, roughly a 65% market chance it reaches the judges. Prices move; check Kalshi before acting.
On the stats, this matchup leans toward a decision. Abubakar Vagaev has won 80% of their wins on the cards and Jacob Malkoun 70%. It is scheduled for 3 rounds.
Our pick, stake sizing, per-leg profit and confidence for every fight are in the member app ($1.99 per 30 days). This page shows the free matchup analysis only.
Information only, not betting advice. Bets and positions can lose. 21+ only. Need help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. CageCalls is not affiliated with the UFC or Kalshi. Stats: Sherdog, UFC.com, UFCStats, Wikipedia. Prices: Kalshi public market data, checked 2026-10-22.