UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Main card (2:00 PM ET) · Featherweight · 3 rounds
Free, no-login matchup breakdown for Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita at UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Numbers come from Sherdog and UFC.com; nothing is filled in by guesswork.
| Aaron Pico | Losene Keita | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-5-0 | 17-2-0 |
| Age | 30.1 | 28.8 |
| Reach (in) | 70.5 | 71.5 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Style (stat-derived) | Grappler | Striker |
| Layoff (days) | 196 | 49 |
| UFC record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | WLWWW | WLWWW |
| Sig. strikes landed /min | 6.2 | 3.9 |
| Sig. strike defense % | 45.0 | 65.0 |
| Takedowns /15 min | 6.5 | 0.0 |
| Takedown defense % | n/a | 100.0 |
| Sub attempts /15 min | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Wins by | 9 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 3 decision | 11 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 6 decision |
| Losses by | 4 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 0 decision | 1 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 1 decision |
Overall the matchup leans toward a finish (stat-based read, not a prediction).
Kalshi's moneyline has Aaron Pico 56¢, Losene Keita 45¢. That makes Aaron Pico the favorite. The "fight goes the distance" market trades around 32–38¢, roughly a 35% market chance it reaches the judges.
Members get the pick, stake per leg, profit per leg, confidence rating and the factor notes for every fight on the card.
See CageCalls ($1.99 / 30 days)Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita is on the main card of UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. That segment starts at 2:00 PM ET.
Aaron Pico (14-5-0) has 9 KO/TKO, 2 submission, 3 decision wins. Losene Keita (17-2-0) has 11 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 6 decision wins (Sherdog).
Kalshi's moneyline has Aaron Pico 56¢, Losene Keita 45¢. That makes Aaron Pico the favorite. The "fight goes the distance" market trades around 32–38¢, roughly a 35% market chance it reaches the judges. Prices move; check Kalshi before acting.
On the stats, this matchup leans toward a finish. Aaron Pico has won 21% of their wins on the cards and Losene Keita 35%. It is scheduled for 3 rounds.
Our pick, stake sizing, per-leg profit and confidence for every fight are in the member app ($1.99 per 30 days). This page shows the free matchup analysis only.
Information only, not betting advice. Bets and positions can lose. 21+ only. Need help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. CageCalls is not affiliated with the UFC or Kalshi. Stats: Sherdog, UFC.com, UFCStats, Wikipedia. Prices: Kalshi public market data, checked 2026-10-22.